Planet on Track to Warm 2.7°C by 2100 Under Current Policies: Report

The planet is in the midst of a climate crisis of epic proportions, with unparalleled extreme weather, flooding, drought and wildfires. In the face of these calamities, the global average temperature has continued to rise, with “no improvement” seen since 2021.

A new report from Climate Action Tracker (CAT) — released on Thursday at the United Nations COP29 climate summit in Baku, Azerbaijan — has found that, under current policies, the world is on track toward 2.7 degrees Celsius of warming by the end of the century.

“We are clearly failing to bend the curve,” said lead author of the report Sofia Gonzales-Zuñiga, senior climate policy analyst with Climate Analytics, in a press release from CAT.

This year has shown “minimal overall progress,” with nearly no new net zero pledges or national climate targets, the press release said. Fossil fuel emissions continue to rise, despite repeated promises by governments to strengthen their targets for 2030 and align them with the Paris Agreement goal of limiting the average global temperature to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.

Gonzales-Zuñiga said the 2.7 degrees Celsius median warming estimate had a 50 percent likelihood of being lower or higher.

“But our knowledge of the climate system tells us that there is a 33% chance of our projection being 3.0°C — or higher — and a 10% chance of being 3.6°C or higher, an absolutely catastrophic level of warming,” Gonzales-Zuñiga added.

The good news is that renewables and electric vehicles (EVs) have reported record progress. Investments in green energy and EVs are now twice those of fossil fuels. At the same time, fossil fuel subsidies have reached an all-time high. Fossil fuel project funding quadrupled from 2021 to 2022.

According to CAT projections, fossil fuel emissions will peak by 2030, but at a substantially higher level than in 2021.

“Rising emissions while renewables boom is not a paradox. In recent years fossil fuels won the race against renewables, leading to increasing emissions. But renewables surprise us each year with faster growth faster than expected, exponential growth that will soon see them crowd out fossil fuels. It allows much faster decline in emissions after 2030 than we thought only three years ago,” said Professor Niklas Höhne, a climate policy expert with the NewClimate Institute, a CAT partner organization, in the press release.

An initial calculation by CAT of the predicted impact of Donald Trump’s Project 2025 planned repealing of climate policies estimates an increase in global heating of approximately 0.04 degrees Celsius, if the actions are limited to the United States. Permanently abandoning the country’s net zero goal, if accompanied by other nations delaying action or changing their climate policies, could have a larger negative effect.

“Clearly, we won’t know the full impact of the US elections until President-Elect Trump takes office, but there is a clean energy momentum in the US now that will be difficult to stop. While the Trump administration will undoubtedly do its best to throw a wrecking ball into climate action, the clean energy momentum created by President Biden, being actioned across the country, is likely to continue at significant scale,” said Bill Hare, Climate Analytics CEO, in the press release. “The key issue is whether countries stick together and continue to move forward with action, a Trump rollback of US policies, as damaging as it is, can be overcome.”

CAT said putting the planet on track for a downward trajectory of emissions begins with the greatest emitters.

In conjunction with its report, CAT released its recommended targets for 2035 for seven of the planet’s biggest emitters: the U.S., China, India, Australia, the European Union, Japan and Indonesia, as well as Troika countries Azerbaijan, Brazil and the United Arab Emirates.

“What on earth are we doing in this gathering?” Prime Minister of Albania Edi Rama asked other heads of state at COP29 on Wednesday, as The Guardian reported. “What does it mean for the future of the world if the biggest polluters continue as usual?”

The world’s seven biggest emitters produced 60 percent of greenhouse gas emissions globally in 2022. The three Troika nations — who released their Roadmap to Mission 1.5°C — all have plans to keep extracting fossil fuels. Together, the 10 nations produce 63 percent of the world’s emissions.

“Developed countries need to continue to supplement their domestic action with significant financial and other support for developing countries to constitute an equitable contribution to the 1.5°C limit,” said co-author of the report Ana Missirliu, a climate policy analyst with the NewClimate Institute, in the press release. “Many developing countries can only achieve sufficient climate action with significant financial and other support. COP29 is where we need to see this financial commitment.”

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Trump’s Plans to Repeal Climate Policies Could Cost U.S. $50 Billion in Lost Exports, Forfeit Clean Energy Economy to Other Countries

A new report by the Net Zero Industrial Policy Lab at Johns Hopkins University explains the high cost that would come to the U.S. if the incoming Trump administration repeals existing climate policies.

According to the report, Donald Trump’s plans to undo climate policies would cost the U.S. billions of dollars. Rolling back policies such as the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL), the CHIPS and Science Act and the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) would create lost opportunities for U.S. manufacturing and trade, leading to job losses, tax revenue declines and losses in exports, the report authors said.

“Our scenario analysis shows that U.S. repeal of the IRA would, in the most likely scenario, harm U.S. manufacturing and trade and create up to $80 billion in investment opportunities for other countries, including major U.S. competitors like China,” the authors wrote. “U.S. harm would come in the form of lost factories, lost jobs, lost tax revenue, and up to $50 billion in lost exports.”

As The Guardian reported, these repealed policies would lead to a loss of opportunities in clean energy for the U.S., while China and other nations will gain money and power when it comes to developing solar and wind energy infrastructure, electric vehicles, battery storage and more. 

In 2023, China already installed more solar panels in one year than the U.S. has in total. As of July 2024, Global Energy Monitor found that China had projects with about 180 gigawatts of utility-scale solar power and 159 gigawatts of wind power in progress, which is about double the capacity of utility-scale renewables under construction compared to the rest of the world.

Even if the U.S. invests more in fossil fuels and strips back investments and progress in clean energy projects under the new administration, the rest of the world is continuing the transition to clean energy, which has already led to economic gains globally. As the International Energy Agency (IEA) reported, clean energy made up 10% of economic growth in 2023, and clean energy accounted for about 80% of new electricity capacity additions last year. There has also been a growth in electrified transportation, with one in five cars sold globally being EVs.

The U.S. will continue to add more renewable energy as it becomes more affordable, but rolling back subsidies and policies on clean energy will mean the country needs to import these products rather than producing them, the report authors warned.

“The U.S. will still install a bunch of solar panels and wind turbines, but getting rid of those policies would harm the U.S.’s bid for leadership in this new world,” Bentley Allan, co-author of the report and an environmental and political policy expert at Johns Hopkins University, told The Guardian. “The energy transition is inevitable and the future prosperity of countries hinges on being part of the clean energy supply chain. If we exit the competition, it will be very difficult to re-enter.”

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1,000-Year Carbon Sequestration Strategies Necessary to Limit Global Heating, Scientists Say

A new study suggests that the only way to stop global heating is to use carbon sequestration strategies that store carbon for 1,000 years, rather than the 100-year time frame used in many carbon sequestration models and natural sequestration by some long-lived tree species.

In their paper, Cyril Brunner, Zeke Hausfather and Reto Knutti suggest their findings demonstrate that short-term strategies for carbon storage will lead to captured carbon being released before it can be recycled naturally in Earth’s atmosphere, reported Phys.org.

Carbon Dioxide Removal is essential for achieving net zero emissions, as it is required to neutralize any residual CO2 emissions,” the scientists wrote in the study. “Our findings suggest that a CO2 storage period of less than 1000 years is insufficient for neutralizing remaining fossil CO2 emissions under net zero emissions.”

Previous studies have shown that the many ways to sequester atmospheric carbon fall into two categories: forced and natural.

Forced carbon sequestration involves methods such as injecting carbon dioxide into rock formations underground or dropping metal-covered carbon blocks into the ocean. These methods are expected to sequester the carbon for a thousand years or more.

Carbon sequestration happens naturally when plants remove carbon from the air through the process of photosynthesis and hold it in their branches, leaves, trunk and roots until the plant dies. Long-lived trees can store carbon for a century.

“We found that storage duration substantially affects whether net zero emissions achieve the desired temperature outcomes. With a typical 100-year storage duration, net zero CO2 emissions with 6 GtCO2 per year residual emissions result in an additional warming of 1.1 °C by 2500 compared to permanent storage, thus putting the internationally agreed temperature limits at risk,” the scientists wrote.

Brunner, Hausfather and Knutti focused on storing carbon “durably” — part of the target set by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. They noted that many strategies developed to meet the goal use the century benchmark as a means of “durable” carbon sequestration.

“The scientifically recognized definition of Carbon Dioxide Removal requires removed atmospheric CO2 to be stored ‘durably’; however, it remains unclear what is meant by durably, and interpretations have varied from decades to millennia,” the trio wrote in the study.

They also pointed out that most storage efforts that last 100 years are natural, which means they are vulnerable. One forest fire has the capability of releasing tons of sequestered carbon back into the atmosphere. Because of this reality, they suggested only thousand-year carbon storage strategies be used.

The research team noted that longer-term strategies have the advantage of being able to store carbon for about the same amount of time as atmospheric carbon dioxide takes to come back to Earth naturally.

“These results reinforce the principle that credible neutralization claims using Carbon Dioxide Removal in a net zero framework require balancing emissions with removals of similar atmospheric residence time and storage reservoir, e.g., geological or biogenic,” the team said.

The study, “Durability of carbon dioxide removal is critical for Paris climate goals,” was published in the journal Communications, Earth & Environment.

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‘Fossil Fuels Are Still Winning’ as Carbon Emissions Reach Record Highs in 2024

The most recent Global Carbon Budget report has found that the world’s carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels reached a record high in 2024, pushing the planet further off track from avoiding the most destructive impacts of global heating.

The 2024 Global Carbon Budget — produced by the Global Carbon Project team of 120-plus scientists from around the world — projects that emissions from fossil carbon dioxide will reach 37.4 billion tonnes in 2024, an increase of 0.8 percent over the previous year, according to a press release from the Global Carbon Project.

“The impacts of climate change are becoming increasingly dramatic, yet we still see no sign that burning of fossil fuels has peaked,” said lead author of the study Professor Pierre Friedlingstein of Global Systems Institute at the University of Exeter, in the press release. “Time is running out to meet the Paris Agreement goals – and world leaders meeting at COP29 must bring about rapid and deep cuts to fossil fuel emissions to give us a chance of staying well below 2°C warming above pre-industrial levels.”

Total carbon dioxide emissions for 2024 are projected to be 41.6 billion tonnes, with 4.2 billion tonnes coming from deforestation and other land-use changes. Last year’s total emissions were 40.6 billion tonnes.

Over the course of the past decade, fossil carbon emissions have increased while carbon dioxide emissions from land-use changes have gone down on average, leaving total emissions approximately level for that period. In the past 10 years, overall emissions from land-use changes have gone down 20 percent.

This year, however, global emissions from both land-use changes and fossil carbon dioxide are in a position to rise. Drought conditions exacerbated emissions from deforestation, fires and forest degradation during the 2023-2024 El Niño climate event.

“Emissions from fires in 2024 have been above the average since the beginning of the satellite record in 2003, particularly due to the extreme 2023 wildfire season in Canada (which persisted in 2024) and intense drought in Brazil,” the press release said.

The permanent removal of carbon dioxide through new forests and reforestation offsets roughly half of emissions from permanent deforestation.

“Despite another rise in global emissions this year, the latest data shows evidence of widespread climate action, with the growing penetration of renewables and electric cars displacing fossil fuels, and decreasing deforestation emissions in the past decades confirmed for the first time,” said Professor Corinne Le Quéré, a research professor at University of East Anglia’s School of Environmental Sciences, in the press release.

Dr. Glen Peters, co-author of the report and a senior researcher with Oslo’s CICERO Center for International Climate Research, pointed out that, for a peak in the world’s fossil fuel emissions to occur, more countries must speed up the pace of their emissions cuts.

“There are many signs of positive progress at the country level, and a feeling that a peak in global fossil CO2 emissions is imminent, but the global peak remains elusive. Climate action is a collective problem, and while gradual emission reductions are occurring in some countries, increases continue in others,” Peters said in the press release. “Progress in all countries needs to accelerate fast enough to put global emissions on a downward trajectory towards net zero.”

The scientists found that emissions from the United States — which represent 13 percent of the world’s total — are predicted to decrease by 0.6 percent this year. Meanwhile, India’s emissions — eight percent of the total — are projected to climb 4.6 percent. Emissions from the European Union — which make up seven percent — are likely to go down by 3.8 percent. The rest of the planet’s emissions — 38 percent of collective emissions overall — are projected to rise by 1.1 percent.

“Until we reach net zero CO2 emissions globally, world temperatures will continue to rise and cause increasingly severe impacts,” Friedlingstein added.

Another finding of the report was that current technology-based carbon removal only accounted for roughly one-millionth of fossil fuel carbon emissions.

Ocean– and land-based carbon sinks combined made up about half of total carbon dioxide removal in 2024, despite the negative impacts of climate change.

Solar and wind is displacing fossil fuels in some countries, but then you have other countries where the economies are growing too strongly for renewables to keep up,” Peters said, as The New York Times reported. “When you put the whole global sum together, fossil fuels are still winning. An emissions peak could be around the corner, but we haven’t seen it yet.”

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Scientists Seek to Grow More Heat-Tolerant Tomatoes

As climate change worsens drought events, scientists are finding ways to make crops more resilient. Such is the case in a new study where biologists at Brown University explored tomato traits and growth cycles that are most durable against heat stress.

Crop yields are expected to decline between 2.5% to 16% for each degree Celsius of warming, the study warned. With global temperatures already surpassing 1.5 degrees Celsius warming for the calendar year compared to pre-industrial times and droughts continuing to worsen in terms of frequency, severity and length, crops are becoming more at risk to heat stress.

In response, scientists experimented with tomato plants to study their pollen tube growth phase, a part of plants’ growth cycles when the pollen tube grows through the pistil to bring the mature male germ cells to the mature female germ cells for fertilization, as explained in the Atlas of Sexual Reproduction in Flowering Plants.

The team’s goal was to find which tomato varieties are best suited to withstanding drought and heat and use their genetics to determine how to make other varieties more durable to these conditions.

“We’re trying to figure out thermoregulation at a molecular and cellular level, and identify what and where we need to improve so that we can target those in commercial plant cultivars and conserve everything about them except for this one aspect that makes them vulnerable to extreme heat,” Sorel V. Yimga Ouonkap, an author of the study and a research associate at Brown University, said in a statement. “Over time, you can start accumulating different resistance mechanisms as the growing conditions continue to change.”

The researchers selected tomato plants native to the Philippines, Russia and Mexico and noted changes in gene expressions when the plants were exposed to heat. The research team and its partners at the University of Arizona found significant differences in heat-tolerant tomatoes and the varieties that were more sensitive to heat. Heat-tolerant tomatoes experienced more growth, while heat-sensitive varieties experienced limitations to fruit and seed production during the pollen tube growth phase. 

From there, the scientists were able to look deeper into the biology of the plants to identify what characteristics make this heat- and drought-tolerance possible, paving the way for more drought-resilient crops in the future. The authors published their findings in the journal Current Biology.

With more research, the findings could help inspire a type of molecule product that could be applied to more heat-sensitive tomatoes ahead of a pollen tube growth phase.

“When the weather forecast showed two weeks of high temperatures during the pollen tube growth phase, the farmer would apply a product to plants that would change the gene expression so that the pollen would be resilient to heat,” explained Mark Johnson, an author of the study and a professor of biology at Brown University.

This would allow farmers to continue to grow desirable tomato varieties, even if they are naturally more vulnerable to heat and drought.

“Imagine if you could just make a Heinz tomato more resilient to temperature stress without affecting the flavor profile or the way people experience the tomato,” Johnson said. “That would be a great advantage.”

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Insect Larvae Capable of Digesting Plastic Discovered in Kenya

Plastics, ubiquitous in modern society, have become a toxic menace all over the world, leaching PFAS “forever chemicals,” breaking down into microplastics and choking the world’s seas and landfills

In a promising study, scientists have discovered that mealworm larvae are capable of consuming polystyrene. They are one of few insects — and the first native African insect species — that has been found to be able to break down the polluting plastic.

Styrofoam, as polystyrene is commonly called, is a plastic material used in food, industrial and electronic packaging. It is strong and hard to break down in the environment. Traditional recycling methods, such as thermal and chemical processing, are costly and produce pollutants.

“Plastic pollution levels are at critically high levels in some African countries. Though plastic waste is a major environmental issue globally, Africa faces a particular challenge due to high importation of plastic products, low re-use and a lack of recycling of these products,” Fathiya Khamis, senior scientist with the International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology, wrote in The Conversation.

The center’s research team found that Kenyan lesser mealworm larvae could not only chew through polystyrene, but host gut bacteria who help them break down the material.

The lesser mealworm is primarily found in the warm environment of chicken raising operations, which also provide them with a consistent supply of food.

The team looked at the larvae’s gut bacteria to identify which bacterial communities might support the process of degrading plastic.

“By studying these natural ‘plastic-eaters,’ we hope to create new tools that help get rid of plastic waste faster and more efficiently. Instead of releasing a huge number of these insects into trash sites (which isn’t practical), we can use the microbes and enzymes they produce in factories, landfills and cleanup sites. This means plastic waste can be tackled in a way that’s easier to manage at a large scale,” Khamis explained.

The team’s study trial lasted more than a month, during which time the mealworm larvae were fed either bran — which is dense in nutrients — polystyrene by itself, or a combination of bran and the plastic material.

The scientists found that mealworms who consumed the diet of polystyrene and bran together had higher survival rates than those who were fed just polystyrene. They also discovered that the larvae on the combination diet ate polystyrene more efficiently than the worms on a diet of polystyrene alone. The findings highlight the benefits of making sure the insects had a nutrient-dense diet.

“While the polystyrene-only diet did support the mealworms’ survival, they didn’t have enough nutrition to make them efficient in breaking down polystyrene. This finding reinforced the importance of a balanced diet for the insects to optimally consume and degrade plastic. The insects could be eating the polystyrene because it’s mostly made up of carbon and hydrogen, which may provide them an energy source,” Khamis wrote in The Conversation.

On the polystyrene-bran diet, the mealworms could break down roughly 11.7 percent of all the polystyrene they were given during the trial period.

The mealworm gut analysis showed major shifts in gut bacterial composition depending upon their diet. Gaining an understanding of these changes is essential, since it reveals the particular microbes that are actively involved in the plastic decomposition process.

When used at scale, the bacteria will not harm the environment or the insect, Khamis said.

“The abundance of bacteria indicates that they play a crucial role in breaking down the plastic. This may mean that mealworms may not naturally have the ability to eat plastic. Instead, when they start eating plastic, the bacteria in their guts might change to help break it down. Thus, the microbes in the mealworms’ stomachs can adjust to unusual diets, like plastic,” Khamis wrote. “These findings support our hypothesis that the gut of certain insects can enable plastic degradation. This is likely because the bacteria in their gut can produce enzymes that break down plastic polymers.”

Other insect species have previously shown that they are able to consume plastics by breaking down polystyrene-like materials with their gut bacteria.

This study was different because it focused on native African insect species breaking down plastic, which had not yet been extensively studied.

“This regional focus is important because the insects and environmental conditions in Africa may differ from those in other parts of the world, potentially offering new insights and practical solutions for plastic pollution in African settings,” Khamis explained. “The Kenyan lesser mealworm’s ability to consume polystyrene suggests that it could play a role in natural waste reduction, especially for types of plastic that are resistant to conventional recycling methods.”

Khamis added that future research could focus on identifying specific bacterial strains that are involved in the degradation of polystyrene and looking at their enzymes.

“Additionally, we may explore other types of plastics to test the versatility of this insect for broader waste management applications,” Khamis said in The Conversation. “Scaling up the use of the lesser mealworms for plastic degradation would also require strategies for ensuring insect health over prolonged plastic consumption, as well as evaluating the safety of resulting insect biomass for animal feeds.”

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UK Steps Up Climate Goals at COP21 With 81% Emissions Reduction Pledge

At the COP29 United Nations Climate Conference, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced on Tuesday that the United Kingdom would slash greenhouse gas emissions 81 percent by 2035.

The UK’s new target follows recommendations by the Climate Change Committee, who said the goal should exceed the country’s current 78 percent emissions reduction, in comparison with 1990 levels, reported Reuters.

“At this COP, I was pleased to announce that we’re building on our reputation as a climate leader, with the UK’s 2035 NDC (nationally determined contributions) target to reduce all greenhouse gas emissions by at least 81% on 1990 levels,” Starmer said at a press conference in Baku, Azerbaijan, as Reuters reported.

Starmer’s announcement was in line with Britain’s goal of making itself an international destination for clean energy companies, particularly since President-elect Donald Trump has been threatening to derail tax incentives that make the United States a draw for renewables, reported The New York Times.

“The race is on for the clean energy jobs of the future, the economy of the future,” Starmer said, as The New York Times reported.

Helen Clarkson, head of nonprofit organization Climate Group, stated in an email that the Starmer administration would need to come up with a plan for green energy companies that want to invest.

 “The economic prize on offer to the U.K is enormous,” Clarkson said in the email.

The UK’s target is one of the first NDCs to be announced at COP29, reported The Guardian. The goal is also expected to be among the most ambitious from the countries attending the summit.

NDCs are due in February of 2025.

To achieve its objective, the UK would decarbonize its power sector, expand offshore wind and invest in nuclear energy and carbon capture and storage.

Climate activists have referred to the NDCs submitted thus far by nations at the summit as “underwhelming.”

“With the warning signals flashing red, a planet battered by increasingly severe floods, storms and heatwaves, and the election of climate denier President Trump, the need for climate leadership by the UK has never been more urgent. Starmer’s 2035 carbon-reduction pledge is a step in the right direction but must be seen as a floor to the level of ambition, not a ceiling. Deeper, faster cuts are needed to help avert the climate collision course we are on,” said Rosie Downes, head of campaigns at Friends of the Earth, as The Guardian reported. “Furthermore, if these targets are to be credible, they must be backed by a clear plan to ensure they are met. The UK’s existing 2030 commitment is currently way off course.”

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UK Steps Up Climate Goals at COP21 With 81% Emissions Reduction Pledge

At the COP29 United Nations Climate Conference, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced on Tuesday that the United Kingdom would slash greenhouse gas emissions 81 percent by 2035.

The UK’s new target follows recommendations by the Climate Change Committee, who said the goal should exceed the country’s current 78 percent emissions reduction, in comparison with 1990 levels, reported Reuters.

“At this COP, I was pleased to announce that we’re building on our reputation as a climate leader, with the UK’s 2035 NDC (nationally determined contributions) target to reduce all greenhouse gas emissions by at least 81% on 1990 levels,” Starmer said at a press conference in Baku, Azerbaijan, as Reuters reported.

Starmer’s announcement was in line with Britain’s goal of making itself an international destination for clean energy companies, particularly since President-elect Donald Trump has been threatening to derail tax incentives that make the United States a draw for renewables, reported The New York Times.

“The race is on for the clean energy jobs of the future, the economy of the future,” Starmer said, as The New York Times reported.

Helen Clarkson, head of nonprofit organization Climate Group, stated in an email that the Starmer administration would need to come up with a plan for green energy companies that want to invest.

 “The economic prize on offer to the U.K is enormous,” Clarkson said in the email.

The UK’s target is one of the first NDCs to be announced at COP29, reported The Guardian. The goal is also expected to be among the most ambitious from the countries attending the summit.

NDCs are due in February of 2025.

To achieve its objective, the UK would decarbonize its power sector, expand offshore wind and invest in nuclear energy and carbon capture and storage.

Climate activists have referred to the NDCs submitted thus far by nations at the summit as “underwhelming.”

“With the warning signals flashing red, a planet battered by increasingly severe floods, storms and heatwaves, and the election of climate denier President Trump, the need for climate leadership by the UK has never been more urgent. Starmer’s 2035 carbon-reduction pledge is a step in the right direction but must be seen as a floor to the level of ambition, not a ceiling. Deeper, faster cuts are needed to help avert the climate collision course we are on,” said Rosie Downes, head of campaigns at Friends of the Earth, as The Guardian reported. “Furthermore, if these targets are to be credible, they must be backed by a clear plan to ensure they are met. The UK’s existing 2030 commitment is currently way off course.”

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Soil Samples Reveal High Lead Levels in Houston’s Greater Fifth Ward Neighborhood

In a new study, scientists tested soil samples from residential and play areas in the Greater Fifth Ward, a neighborhood of Houston, Texas and found high concentrations of lead.

The researchers tested for heavy metals and metalloids, such as lead, arsenic and mercury. While the levels for most of the heavy metals and metalloids appeared in line or lower than usual for urban locations, the average amount of lead was higher than the typical amount of lead present in soil in Texas. The team published their findings in Journal of Exposure Science & Environmental Epidemiology.

The scientists found a median of 400 milligrams of lead per kilogram of soil in seven samples from play areas and 1,200 milligrams per kilogram in three residential soil samples. But the actual amount of lead could be even higher, as the team did not account for lead-based paint or vehicle fuel.

“Heavy metals and metalloids have been extensively studied and regulated over the past 50 years, but evidence is growing that contact is more prevalent than previously thought, especially in so-called cancer clusters like the Greater Fifth Ward, where most residents are socioeconomically disadvantaged racial and ethnic minorities,” Dr. Garett Sansom, an author of the study and research assistant professor at the Texas A&M School of Public Health, said in a statement.

Downtown Houston and the Greater Fifth Ward seen on Feb. 24, 2019. Adam Reeder / Flickr

For the study, researchers partnered with Coalition of Community Organizations and IMPACT GFW and worked with local residents to conduct the testing. They collected 193 soil samples and tested them for lead, barium, chromium, arsenic, cadmium, selenium, mercury and silver. Lead, barium and chromium had the highest concentrations, but only lead was at a higher level than expected for a city.

As reported by Houston Landing, the Greater Fifth Ward neighborhood is part of a “cancer cluster” area with contaminated soil and groundwater that has exposed residents to higher risks of cancer and other diseases for decades.

A child plays in a park in Houston’s Fifth Ward. Nick de la Torre / Houston Chronicle via Getty Images

In 2023, Houston officials passed a $5 million plan to offer money to residents in the area to voluntarily relocate, because of 110 houses near the former Union Pacific Railroad site. But as Houston Landing reported, development in the Greater Fifth Ward has still pushed forward, and many residents are moving to the area with no warning of the contamination.

Researchers and community members worked together to create mailers that were sent to residents to inform them of the study results, and a town hall also notified residents and provided more information. 

In concluding the study, researchers warned that the high concentrations of lead discovered in the samples require a deeper investigation, and they highlighted the importance of working with the community to do this work.

“This study provided a baseline that could aid the development of environmental protection programs,” Sansom said. “In addition, the involvement of community partners was critical to its success and should be used as a model for future research with vulnerable populations and other direct stakeholders.”

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Soil Samples Reveal High Lead Levels in Houston’s Greater Fifth Ward Neighborhood

In a new study, scientists tested soil samples from residential and play areas in the Greater Fifth Ward, a neighborhood of Houston, Texas and found high concentrations of lead.

The researchers tested for heavy metals and metalloids, such as lead, arsenic and mercury. While the levels for most of the heavy metals and metalloids appeared in line or lower than usual for urban locations, the average amount of lead was higher than the typical amount of lead present in soil in Texas. The team published their findings in Journal of Exposure Science & Environmental Epidemiology.

The scientists found a median of 400 milligrams of lead per kilogram of soil in seven samples from play areas and 1,200 milligrams per kilogram in three residential soil samples. But the actual amount of lead could be even higher, as the team did not account for lead-based paint or vehicle fuel.

“Heavy metals and metalloids have been extensively studied and regulated over the past 50 years, but evidence is growing that contact is more prevalent than previously thought, especially in so-called cancer clusters like the Greater Fifth Ward, where most residents are socioeconomically disadvantaged racial and ethnic minorities,” Dr. Garett Sansom, an author of the study and research assistant professor at the Texas A&M School of Public Health, said in a statement.

Downtown Houston and the Greater Fifth Ward seen on Feb. 24, 2019. Adam Reeder / Flickr

For the study, researchers partnered with Coalition of Community Organizations and IMPACT GFW and worked with local residents to conduct the testing. They collected 193 soil samples and tested them for lead, barium, chromium, arsenic, cadmium, selenium, mercury and silver. Lead, barium and chromium had the highest concentrations, but only lead was at a higher level than expected for a city.

As reported by Houston Landing, the Greater Fifth Ward neighborhood is part of a “cancer cluster” area with contaminated soil and groundwater that has exposed residents to higher risks of cancer and other diseases for decades.

A child plays in a park in Houston’s Fifth Ward. Nick de la Torre / Houston Chronicle via Getty Images

In 2023, Houston officials passed a $5 million plan to offer money to residents in the area to voluntarily relocate, because of 110 houses near the former Union Pacific Railroad site. But as Houston Landing reported, development in the Greater Fifth Ward has still pushed forward, and many residents are moving to the area with no warning of the contamination.

Researchers and community members worked together to create mailers that were sent to residents to inform them of the study results, and a town hall also notified residents and provided more information. 

In concluding the study, researchers warned that the high concentrations of lead discovered in the samples require a deeper investigation, and they highlighted the importance of working with the community to do this work.

“This study provided a baseline that could aid the development of environmental protection programs,” Sansom said. “In addition, the involvement of community partners was critical to its success and should be used as a model for future research with vulnerable populations and other direct stakeholders.”

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