Global Land Degradation Is Expanding by an Area the Size of Egypt per Year, Report Finds

A new report by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), in collaboration with the UN Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD), has found that global land degradation is increasing by about 1 million square kilometers per year, nearly the size of Egypt.

The report, “Stepping back from the precipice: Transforming land management to stay within planetary boundaries,” evaluated global land degradation to better understand how land use could impact planetary boundaries. By comparing land degradation within this specific scientific framework, the report authors showed how unsustainable land-system changes can impact other global systems.

In September 2024, PIK released a separate report that warned that we are about to exceed a seventh of nine planetary boundaries, putting the world at risk of surpassing tipping points and threatening the lives of humans and wildlife.

As the “Stepping back from the precipice” report notes, proper land use is essential for climate regulation, biodiversity, healthy freshwater systems and the ability to produce food and water. Further, proper land use is essential to keeping at least seven of the planetary boundaries within safe operating limits. Already, we have passed six boundaries, including land-system change.

According to PIK, original global forest cover is around 60%, while the limit for safe operation requires around 75% of forest cover. As The Guardian reported, total land degradation on Earth is already around 15 million square kilometers (5.8 million square miles), an area larger than Antarctica, which spans around 14.2 million square kilometers (5.5 million square miles). The cost of this degradation is around $6.3 trillion to $10.6 trillion each year, and around 1.2 billion people are already impacted by land degradation.

Now, the world faces continuing land degradation to the tune of an additional 1 million square kilometers (386,102 square miles) each year, PIK and UNCCD warned in the report. According to the report authors, some of the main drivers of expanding land degradation include unsustainable farming practices — which are linked to nearly 90% of forest loss — as well as deforestation and urbanization.

“If we fail to acknowledge the pivotal role of land and take appropriate action, the consequences will ripple through every aspect of life and extend well into the future, intensifying difficulties for future generations,” Ibrahim Thiaw, executive secretary of UNCCD, told The Guardian.

As part of the report, the organizations included several recommendations for urgent actions to minimize and reverse land degradation, such as restoring forests, grasslands and savannahs; investing in sustainable agriculture practices; more sustainably managing freshwater sources; increasing public and private investments in sustainable land use; using sustainable frameworks including the planetary boundaries in policymaking; and pursuing equity and justice in all land use changes.

“These transformative actions hold great potential for addressing land degradation, but their implementation will require an enabling environment, conducive policies, significant investments and an integration of principles of fairness and justice across multiple sectors and scales,” the report concluded.

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Massachusetts Cranberry Bog Hosts Community Solar Plant

The site of a cranberry bog in Carver, Massachusetts now serves double-duty as a community solar plant after receiving Permission to Operate approval on November 26.

The Carver Solar project, owned by New York-based solar developer and operator Syncarpha Capital, sits on 28 acres leased by E.J. Pontiff Cranberries Inc. in an overall 765-acre plot otherwise used for cranberry bogs.

According to Syncarpha Capital, the community solar installation has a 7.1 MW-DC capacity, along with a 4 MW, 2-hour battery storage system, with the generated energy to be shared among local residents and institutions. The energy will be distributed to recipients by energy provider Eversource Energy via the state’s solar incentive program known as Solar Massachusetts Renewable Target (SMART).

Around 350 low-income residents, as well as Tufts University and Milton Academy, will receive discounted solar energy credits through the project, which is expected to generate around 9,500 MWh of clean energy in its first year of operation.

The Carver Solar project received Permission to Operate approval on Nov. 26. Syncarpha Capital

In addition to generating solar energy, the Carver Solar project features a battery installation that will help store energy collected from the solar panels, making it easier to meet energy demand during peak times. Ultimately, this helps build grid resilience to power outages.

Another benefit of establishing community solar is that it allows multiple households, businesses and institutions to access clean energy from one source, rather than households needing to pay for individual solar installations. Community solar can make clean energy more accessible, particularly to low-income households.

According to Solar Gardens, an energy provider by Syncarpha Capital, its community solar projects do not require enrollment fees. Instead, participants receive credits toward their energy bills for using the community solar.

The U.S. Department of Energy reported that as of June 2024, there are about 7.87 GW of community solar projects operating in at least 44 states and Washington, DC. Customers receive a median net present value savings of around $0.27 per watt (W-AC), with total savings varying by project.

Community solar can also be beneficial by incorporating dual-purpose land strategies, Syncarpha Capital reported, or by transforming otherwise unused brownfields into clean energy projects. For example, the site of an old landfill in New York was recently transformed into a community solar site, and in Michigan, some former coal sites are being transitioned into solar hubs and wildlife areas.

“The Syncarpha team thrives on tackling challenging projects and delivering innovative solar and storage solutions that benefit communities while respecting and preserving local land use,” said Clifford Chapman, co-founder and CEO of Syncarpha Capital. 

The Carver Solar project is not without controversy, though. As Axios reported, farmers can be skeptical of installing solar on farmland, because it can make it more difficult to operate machinery around solar panels and there are concerns over whether solar could become more profitable than growing food, leading to shortages. 

A local group known as Carver Concerned Citizens expressed concerns particularly over how solar installations could affect cranberry bogs, noting that the wooden poles for solar panel installation may be treated with chromated copper arsenate (CCA). The group said these poles could contaminate the cranberries and local drinking water.

Previously, the group campaigned for the removal of chemically treated poles from separate projects under Pine Gate Renewables. Carver Conservation Commission voted in 2021 for the poles to be removed and replaced by alternatives such as pre-cast concrete, Wicked Local reported.

In response to the rise of solar installations on agricultural lands, Carver Concerned Citizens said in a Facebook post in 2022, “Carver is home to a wide range of small family farms that could be threatened by irresponsible solar development. Let’s make sure that our farms keep producing food!”

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EVs, Plug-in Hybrids Lead To 11% Emissions Drop for New Vehicles in U.S.: EPA Report

According to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) 50th annual Automotive Trends Report, model year (MY) 2023 electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles have led to an 11% decline in carbon dioxide emissions from new vehicles.

The report noted that fuel economy reached a record high and greenhouse gas emissions from new vehicles reached a record low for MY 2023 vehicles, in part thanks to EVs. 

Further, the report found that all 14 of the major automotive manufacturers were meeting the light-duty greenhouse gas program requirements set by the EPA for the MY 2023 vehicles. The program requires MY 2023 through MY 2026 vehicles to prioritize vehicle technology that reduces pollution and emissions. According to the EPA, the light-duty greenhouse gas program could save more than 3 billion tons of emissions by 2050.

Already, clean vehicle technology, including fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, has made a substantial difference to emissions, the EPA Automotive Trends Report revealed. New MY 2023 vehicles led to a decrease in carbon emissions to 319 grams per mile, a record low. Compared to 20 years ago, the report found that carbon dioxide emissions have declined by 142 grams per mile or around 31%. EVs and plug-in hybrids have been particularly helpful, reducing carbon emissions by 38 grams per mile.

The reduction in carbon emissions has also been accompanied by an increase in vehicle fuel economy, which has risen 40% since MY 2004. For MY 2023 vehicles alone, new vehicle fuel economy reached a record high of 27.1 miles per gallon, according to the EPA.

“This report provides a critical data-driven affirmation that strong, technology-neutral standards can underpin environmental progress while saving drivers money at the pump,” EPA Administrator Michael Regan said in a statement. “Manufacturers continue to innovate and are bringing technologies to market which will directly improve air quality, better protecting people’s health and saving lives.”

The EPA revealed that these vehicle upgrades have made significant improvements in pollution and public health since the agency began recording data in 1975. According to the agency, today’s light-duty vehicles are about 99% cleaner for common pollutants, such as carbon monoxide and nitrogen oxides.

These trends are expected to continue as the EPA estimated an increase in electric, plug-in hybrid, and fuel cell vehicle production for MY 2024. According to the report, these vehicles increased to make up 11.5% of vehicle production in MY 2023 from just 6.7% of production for MY 2022, and they could increase again to 14.8% of production for MY 2024.

Although the report brings good news for the EV market, the EPA warned that light-duty vehicles are still contributing a significant amount, around 17%, to total emissions in the U.S. As such, officials said there will need to be more efforts to improve fuel economy and reduce emissions from vehicles.

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New Solar Panel Recycling Facility Is Coming to Georgia

Solarcycle, a company handling end-of-life solar panels, is opening a new solar panel recycling facility in Cedartown, Georgia. 

According to the company, the upcoming 5-gigawatt facility will span 255,000 square feet and will eventually have the capacity to recycle around 10 million old solar panels annually, or as much as 30% of the country’s retired solar panels by 2030.

To start, the facility will handle recycling of around 2 million solar panels per year and will scale up to meet growing demand. It will utilize Solarcycle’s process to recover up to 99% of photovoltaic materials from retired panels and is especially useful for bifacial panels. According to Solarcycle, many recycling facilities use the same technology to recycle monofacial and bifacial panels, leading to a less efficient system that doesn’t recover as many high-quality, useful materials.

In addition to opening the solar panel recycling facility, Solarcycle will operate a solar glass manufacturing facility next door that will use the recycled and recovered materials from retired solar panels to make new solar glass. It is expected to be the first facility of its kind in the U.S. to manufacture glass for crystalline-silicon (c-Si) photovoltaics. The project was made possible partly through funding from the Inflation Reduction Act, under which Solarcycle received $64 million in Qualifying Advanced Energy Project Credits, CleanTechnica reported.

“The new recycling facility is move-in-ready and will be operational mid 2025. The adjacent glass factory will be operational in 2026,” the company said in a press release.

“By scaling recycling and solar glass manufacturing through a vertically integrated process, we are filling a critical gap in America’s solar supply chain and closing the loop for domestic solar manufacturing,” said Suvi Sharma, CEO and co-founder of Solarcycle.

The manufacturing facility will use recovered materials from the recycled facility next door to produce solar glass, then sell that solar glass to U.S.-based solar manufacturers to boost the country’s solar supply chain, Solarcycle explained. For instance, in October 2024, Solarcycle announced a partnership with manufacturer Runergy Alabama to recycle the manufacturer’s old panels and supply it with new solar glass made at the facilities in Georgia, Waste Dive reported.

Together, the two Solarcycle facilities will employ around 1,250 full-time workers, according to Solarcycle.

“As Georgia continues to lead the nation in attracting jobs from emerging industries, we’re thankful SOLARCYCLE is moving up creation of these opportunities in northwest Georgia, benefitting that entire region’s economy,” said Republican Gov. Brian Kemp. “I want to thank our local and state partners who made this accelerated growth in Polk County possible, and I look forward to its impact in the years to come.”

As CleanTechnica reported, the recycling facility is slated to begin operations by mid-2025. The solar glass manufacturing facility, which is expected to produce about 5 to 6 gigawatts of solar glass per year, is expected to be operational by 2026.

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Using Cosmetics, Perfumes and Dyes During Pregnancy and After Linked to Higher PFAS Levels in Breast Milk, Study Finds

In a new study, researchers have found a link between the use of certain personal care products, such as makeup, hair products and fragrances, by pregnant people and higher levels of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) in human milk.

Researchers compared the use of personal care products and PFAS levels in prenatal plasma and human milk of 2,001 pregnant and lactating people within the Maternal-Infant Research on Environmental Chemicals Study, which took place in 10 cities in Canada from 2008 to 2011.

The results showed that pregnant people who used products like hair dyes, perm solutions, hair sprays and gels, nail polish and other nail products, makeup and fragrance in the first trimester had higher PFAS concentrations in the prenatal plasma and people using these products in the third trimester had higher PFAS concentrations in their milk after giving birth. The scientists published their findings in the journal Environment International.

A graphical abstract of the study. Environment International

“While PFAS are ubiquitous in the environment, our study indicates that personal care products are a modifiable source of PFAS,” Amber Hall, an author of the study and a postdoctoral research associate in epidemiology at Brown University, said in a statement. “People who are concerned about their level of exposure to these chemicals during pregnancy or while breastfeeding may benefit from cutting back on personal care products during those times.”

The study revealed that the highest levels of PFAS were linked to frequent use of nail care products, makeup, perfumes or fragrances, hair dye and hair sprays, as The Guardian reported.

In the study, researchers found that people wearing makeup regularly in the first trimester of pregnancy had 14% higher PFAS concentrations in their plasma compared to pregnant people who did not wear makeup every day. Lactating people wearing makeup daily had 17% higher PFAS levels in milk.

Similarly, lactating people using permanent hair dye shortly after giving birth had 16% to 18% higher levels of PFAS in milk. People who used hair dye at least twice while pregnant had 36% higher levels of perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS), a type of PFAS, compared to people who dyed their hair less than two times while pregnant.

Using nail products during the postpartum period was linked to 27% higher PFOS levels in human milk.

Because the study only looked into just four of the thousands of types of PFAS, Hall explained that the total PFAS concentrations could be even higher.

This is not the first study to investigate PFAS in personal care products or their presence in human bodies. Earlier this year, New Zealand even moved forward with a ban of PFAS in cosmetics by 2027, and these chemicals have been found in human blood and the blood of umbilical cords

This latest research further ties PFAS exposure to higher risks for pregnant people and infants. According to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), PFAS exposure has been linked to decreased fertility, high blood pressure in pregnant people, developmental impacts in children, reduced vaccine response and ability of the immune system to fight infections, hormone interference, and increased risk of some types of cancer.

In response, the researchers noted that the findings could help better inform parents in their use of personal care products when pregnant or lactating, but that the results could also be wide-reaching and should not burden individuals. Instead, the authors said this should prompt more research and regulation of PFAS to protect public health.

“Not only do studies like these help people assess how their product choices may affect their personal risk, but they can also help us show how these products could have population-level effects,” said Joseph Braun, an author of the study and a professor of epidemiology and director of children’s environmental health at Brown University. “And that makes the case for product regulation and government action, so that we can remove some of the burden from individuals.”

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Alliance to End Plastic Waste Members Created 1,000x More Plastic Than They Cleaned Up, Greenpeace Investigation Finds

In 2019, a group of major companies from around the world agreed to form the Alliance to End Plastic Waste (AEPW), an alliance that set out to reduce the amount of plastic flowing into the environment by around 15 million metric tons by the end of 2023. 

But according to a new report by Unearthed, a Greenpeace investigative journalism team, the initiative members have actually produced more than 1,000 times the amount of plastic than they’ve cleaned up in the 2019 to 2023 timeframe.

The report found that the initiative was established by American Chemistry Council (ACC), a trade association, and a PR company. According to Unearthed, the project aimed to “change the conversation – away from short-term simplistic bans of plastic.”

The Unearthed team examined data provided by Wood Mackenzie, a consultancy firm, and found that five companies that are major players in the alliance, including Shell, ExxonMobil, TotalEnergies, ChevronPhillips and Dow, were producing more plastic in just two days than the total amount of plastic the alliance has cleaned up since 2019. 

As Mother Jones reported, these companies produced 132 million metric tons of polyethylene and polypropylene alone in the 2019-2023 timeframe, not including other types of plastics or the plastic produced by other member companies in the alliance. 

“The recycling schemes they’re promoting can barely make a dent in all the plastic these companies are pumping out,” said Will McCallum, co-executive director at Greenpeace UK, as reported by Mother Jones. “They’re letting the running tap flood the house while trying to scoop up the water with a teaspoon. The only solution is to cut the amount of plastic produced in the first place.”

AEPW got rid of its target to divert 15 million metric tons of plastic waste last year. According to Packaging Insights, the alliance achieved only 0.2% of its targets and said that the 15 million metric ton benchmark “was just too ambitious.” 

As a Planet Tracker spokesperson told Packaging Insights, the alliance’s goal to invest $1.5 billion in plastic waste cleanup over a five-year timeline was just a drop in the bucket compared to the $400 billion going toward expanding plastic manufacturing. So far, members have only invested around $375 million, Unearthed reported.

“It’s hard to imagine a clearer example of greenwashing in this world,” Bill McKibben, environmental campaigner, told Unearthed. “The oil and gas industry — which is pretty much the same thing as the plastics industry — has been at this for decades.”

The Unearthed investigative report comes during the latest round of global plastics treaty negotiations in Busan, South Korea. Alliance members, along with the ACC, have been present for the negotiations and have argued against plastic bans, saying that plastic waste, not plastic production, was the problem.

A 2023 report estimated that without a strong global plastics treaty, plastic consumption could increase from 261 million metric tons in 2019 to 451 million metric tons by 2050. Plastic production already doubled from 2000 to 2019, and the amount of plastic waste could triple by 2060, a 2023 study by the World Economic Forum found.

Aileen Lucero, an EcoWaste Coalition campaigner, told Unearthed, “To fix this planetary health crisis, we need to address the underlying problems of hazardous chemical inputs in plastic manufacturing and the unbridled production of disposable plastics.”

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Alliance to End Plastic Waste Members Created 1,000x More Plastic Than They Cleaned Up, Greenpeace Investigation Finds

In 2019, a group of major companies from around the world agreed to form the Alliance to End Plastic Waste (AEPW), an alliance that set out to reduce the amount of plastic flowing into the environment by around 15 million metric tons by the end of 2023. 

But according to a new report by Unearthed, a Greenpeace investigative journalism team, the initiative members have actually produced more than 1,000 times the amount of plastic than they’ve cleaned up in the 2019 to 2023 timeframe.

The report found that the initiative was established by American Chemistry Council (ACC), a trade association, and a PR company. According to Unearthed, the project aimed to “change the conversation – away from short-term simplistic bans of plastic.”

The Unearthed team examined data provided by Wood Mackenzie, a consultancy firm, and found that five companies that are major players in the alliance, including Shell, ExxonMobil, TotalEnergies, ChevronPhillips and Dow, were producing more plastic in just two days than the total amount of plastic the alliance has cleaned up since 2019. 

As Mother Jones reported, these companies produced 132 million metric tons of polyethylene and polypropylene alone in the 2019-2023 timeframe, not including other types of plastics or the plastic produced by other member companies in the alliance. 

“The recycling schemes they’re promoting can barely make a dent in all the plastic these companies are pumping out,” said Will McCallum, co-executive director at Greenpeace UK, as reported by Mother Jones. “They’re letting the running tap flood the house while trying to scoop up the water with a teaspoon. The only solution is to cut the amount of plastic produced in the first place.”

AEPW got rid of its target to divert 15 million metric tons of plastic waste last year. According to Packaging Insights, the alliance achieved only 0.2% of its targets and said that the 15 million metric ton benchmark “was just too ambitious.” 

As a Planet Tracker spokesperson told Packaging Insights, the alliance’s goal to invest $1.5 billion in plastic waste cleanup over a five-year timeline was just a drop in the bucket compared to the $400 billion going toward expanding plastic manufacturing. So far, members have only invested around $375 million, Unearthed reported.

“It’s hard to imagine a clearer example of greenwashing in this world,” Bill McKibben, environmental campaigner, told Unearthed. “The oil and gas industry — which is pretty much the same thing as the plastics industry — has been at this for decades.”

The Unearthed investigative report comes during the latest round of global plastics treaty negotiations in Busan, South Korea. Alliance members, along with the ACC, have been present for the negotiations and have argued against plastic bans, saying that plastic waste, not plastic production, was the problem.

A 2023 report estimated that without a strong global plastics treaty, plastic consumption could increase from 261 million metric tons in 2019 to 451 million metric tons by 2050. Plastic production already doubled from 2000 to 2019, and the amount of plastic waste could triple by 2060, a 2023 study by the World Economic Forum found.

Aileen Lucero, an EcoWaste Coalition campaigner, told Unearthed, “To fix this planetary health crisis, we need to address the underlying problems of hazardous chemical inputs in plastic manufacturing and the unbridled production of disposable plastics.”

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Switzerland to Add More Solar Power to Rooftops and Highway Noise Barriers

In Switzerland, highway noise barriers surrounding the Oberland Autobahn near Wangen-Brüttisellen will soon provide solar power.

Last year, Switzerland’s Federal Roads Office made the surfaces of highway noise barriers free and set out to cover 350 of them in solar panels. Swiss officials estimated that the arrays could generate 100 gigawatt hours of clean energy per year, CleanTechnica reported.

The project is now kicking off with the first two privately owned solar arrays for the A15 Oberland motorway, which will be completed over the first half of 2025. As TA Zurich reported, these photovoltaic installations are expected to provide about 500,000 kilowatt hours of electricity per year.

The first solar arrays will be operated by Lima Solar AG, which has had to overcome several hurdles before starting the installation, including finding low-cost, low-glare panels that won’t distract drivers.

However, despite the hurdles, the company has now paved the way for other noise barrier solar projects to move forward at a faster pace.

One ongoing challenge involves connecting the private solar arrays to the electric grid, particularly in more rural areas, and establishing a marketplace for the generated power. As TA Zurich reported, covering the noise barriers alone would only provide a limited amount of clean energy for residents.

However, Switzerland passed a law in 2023 requiring new buildings with 3,300 square feet (300 meters) or more of roof space to install solar panels. In 2024, Zurich passed a law requiring solar panels on buildings, new or old, with roofs at least 3,300 square feet by 2040.

By installing more panels in already developed spaces that are otherwise unused, Switzerland is incorporating more efficient and affordable ways to install solar.

There has been promising research on the benefits of adding photovoltaic installations along highways to power local communities and support EV charging infrastructure.

A study published in November 2023 found that deploying solar panels on highway noise barriers along highways in the Netherlands could provide around 200 gigawatt hours per year of energy. Further, the study determined that solar energy along highways, both on noise barriers and on public lands around highways, could supply enough power for highway EV charging stations to charge more than 300 electric vehicles per day, which would meet about 80% of expected demand by 2030.

According to a study published in August 2024, installing solar panels overtop of highways could be an effective way to reduce both emissions and traffic accidents. The report found that installing highway solar panels globally could reduce carbon emissions by about 28%. By putting solar arrays over highways, the researchers of that study estimated a reduction in global traffic deaths by about 10.8%, because the solar panels would protect the highways from precipitation.

As the project along the Oberland Autobahn revealed, there are still challenges to low-glare solar panel costs and delayed governmental approval processes, but as more companies work to establish these types of systems, the cost and time to complete the projects is expected to decline.

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Paris Plans to Replace 60,000 Parking Spots With Trees by 2030

A newly released plan would see 60,000 parking spots throughout Paris turn into grounds for tree planting by 2030. The goal of the project is to better prepare for extreme heat events by providing shaded green spaces. The plan still requires approval from the Council of Paris to move forward.

“Trees and nature are natural air conditioners,” Paris officials said, as reported by Yale Environment 360. “Their development makes the city more pleasant to live in during periods of high heat.”

By replacing the selected parking spaces with trees, the project would support a larger city goal to add more than 740 acres of green space in Paris by 2030, with 10% of that green space installed by 2026, Bloomberg reported. In addition to swapping parking spaces for trees, the plan would also incorporate “oasis squares” with trees, other plants and shaded structures for pedestrians to enjoy.

The details are outlined in the city’s new 2024-2030 Climate Plan, which identifies several goals to reduce climate impacts and make the city greener. To further prepare for extreme heat, the latest version of the plan also includes adding more cooling centers throughout the city, installing more reflective or insulated roofs on public buildings, and replanning outdoor working schedules to protect people during the highest temperatures of the day.

The proposed plan continues the city’s progress toward a less car-centric and more sustainable community. In February 2024, voters in Paris approved a measure for higher parking fees for SUVs, and in December 2023, the city announced it would build an urban forest at the site of a busy roundabout to help curb the urban heat island effect.

In 2021, the city announced its Plan Velo: Act 2, an initiative that aims to make the city completely cyclable by 2026. As part of that plan, traffic lights will prioritize cyclists and public transportation over individual cars, according to the city’s official website.

So far, Paris has accomplished a total of 1,442 kilometers of cycling routes and 130 oasis squares, in addition to incorporating more renewable energy in the city’s heat networks, adding more sustainable food options in schools, and reducing household waste per capita by 450 kilograms per year, or around 20% down compared to 2005, according to the new plan.

Although the newest Climate Plan still needs to be approved through a Council of Paris vote, Bloomberg reported the council is likely to pass the plan.

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NASA Satellites Show Major Drop in Global Freshwater Since 2014

Using data from NASA Satellites, a research team of international scientists has observed a sudden drop in freshwater that started in 2014 and has persisted since then.

The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites revealed a drastic decline in global terrestrial water storage, or TWS, between May 2014 and March 2016. The scientists warned that those water levels have still not recovered as of 2023. They shared their findings in a study published in the journal Surveys in Geophysics.

From 2015 through 2023, surface and groundwater levels were about 290 cubic miles below the average stored freshwater levels from 2002 through 2014, NASA reported. According to Matthew Rodell, a co-author of the study and a hydrologist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center, the amount of water lost from 2015 onward was about 2.5 times the volume of Lake Erie.

The freshwater depletion was driven by drought and exacerbated by the 2016 El Niño event and the increasing modern agricultural and municipal demand for water. The team behind the study also predicted that global warming is playing a part in the declining freshwater levels.

The start of the declining freshwater can be drawn to a record-setting drought in northeastern South America, and water levels struggled to recover as droughts continued to hit all over the world, with massive droughts affecting Australasia, South America, North America, Europe and Africa, the authors reported.

Then, in 2016, one of the strongest El Niño events on record further affected precipitation and affected freshwater recovery, which has remained stalled as more droughts take hold globally. As UNICEF reported, there continues to be a record-breaking drought in the Amazon region since 2023, even worse than the drought that kicked off the freshwater depletion in 2014. This ongoing drought and others around the world affect public health, food security, transportation and more essentials.

Scientists noted that global warming could be to blame for the declining freshwater levels, because the phenomenon can lead to more intense, frequent droughts and can amplify evapotranspiration, where more water from plants and soil moves back into the atmosphere. Further, when precipitation patterns change and lead to more rainfall, the freshwater levels cannot be properly restored.

“The problem when you have extreme precipitation is the water ends up running off,” explained Michael Bosilovich, co-author of the study and NASA Goddard meteorologist. “Warming temperatures increase both the evaporation of water from the surface to the atmosphere, and the water-holding capacity of the atmosphere, increasing the frequency and intensity of drought conditions.”

Scientists are unsure whether the lower freshwater levels will recover. There has also been concern that they could continue to decline, especially as European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) has predicted 2024 to be the hottest year ever recorded.

“We don’t think this is a coincidence, and it could be a harbinger of what’s to come,” Rodell said.

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